Back in October I looked at coverage of the latest statistics about Employment Support Allowance assessments. The coverage variously claimed that 75%, 78%, or 4 in 5 people on the benefit were fit to work.
This wasn’t true. It assumed that everyone initially found fit to work was indeed fit to work, and that everyone – every single person – who stopped claiming before the assessment was complete was faking it.
I and several others pointed these flaws out. So imagine my despair when I saw this:
It’s the latest quarterly statistics (PDF), which are actually remarkably similar to October’s. To get the 75%, the Express has:
1) Taken the 39% of people initially found fit to work
2) Ignored the fact that around 40% of appeals against that decision are successful (page 8 )
3) Assumed everyone who dropped out of assessment (39%) was faking it, when the document (page 4) says
A large proportion of people claiming ESA cease their claim before assessment is complete (for example, if they have a short term health condition)
Not to be outdone, the Mail has decided the figure is actually 94%. It does this by using the same method as the Express, then adding in the 16% in the ‘Work Related Activity Group’, which is
For those who cannot work now but with the right help could work in the foreseeable future
It seems rather unfair to label these people as ‘able to work’, although the article does clarify this.
Now it’s not only the newspapers to blame here. The DWP’s press release is titled ‘Majority of people found fit to work as Government presses ahead with reforms’. But Actually only 39% were found fit to work, and a decent proportion of appeals against that succeeded.
To get ‘over half’, they’ve presumably added in the people who could be fit to work with some support. That’s very different from ‘found fit to work’.
Unfortunately the Express is no longer under the PCC’s iron rule, but I will be submitting a complaint regarding the Mail’s misrepresentation of the statistics. I’ll also be writing to the Express. Wonder if I’ll get a response?

Here’s what happened:


